Poisson Probability Distribution Statistics
Topic: Poisson Probability Distribution
The Poisson Distribution is a discrete probability distribution where the number of occurrences in one interval (time or area) is independent of the number of occurrences in other intervals.
April Showers bring May Flowers!! Research the “Average Amount of Days of Precipitation in April” for a city of your choice.
In your initial post,
Introduce the City and State. Let us know a fun fact!
Tell us the average number of days of precipitation in that city for the month of April.
Cite your Source
What is the probability of having exactly 10 days of precipitation in the month of April?
What is the probability of having less than three days of precipitation in the month of April?
What is the probability of having more than 15 days of precipitation in the month of April?
Write a sentence for each of the probabilities explaining what those probabilities mean in context of days of precipitation in your chosen city.
Would any of the situations be considered unusual? Why or Why Not?
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Grading Rubric for Writing Assignment
Your professor may use a slightly different rubric, but the standard rubric at AUR will assess your writing according to the following standards:
|A (4)||B (3)||C (2)||D/F (1/0)|
|Focus: Purpose||Purpose is clear||Shows awareness of purpose||Shows limited awareness of purpose||No awareness|
|Main idea||Clearly presents a||There is a main idea||Vague sense of a||No main idea|
|main idea and||supported throughout||main idea, weakly|
|supports it||most of the paper.||supported|
|throughout the||throughout the|
|Organization:||Well-planned and||Good overall||There is a sense of||No sense of|
|Overall||well-thought out.||organization, includes||organization,||organization|
|Includes title,||the main||although some of the|
|introduction,||organizational tools.||organizational tools|
|statement of main||are used weakly or|
|idea, transitions and||Missing|
|Organization:||All paragraphs have||Most paragraphs have||Some paragraphs||Para. lack clear ideas|
|Paragraphs||clear ideas, are||clear ideas, are||have clear ideas,|
|supported with||supported with some||support from|
|examples and have||examples and have||examples may be|
|smooth transitions.||transitions.||missing and|
|transitions are weak.|
|Content||Exceptionally well-||Well-presented and||Content is sound and||Content is not sound|
|presented and||argued; ideas are||solid; ideas are|
|argued; ideas are||detailed, developed||present but not|
|detailed, well-||and supported with||particularly|
|developed,||evidence and details,||developed or|
|supported with||mostly specific.||supported; some|
|specific evidence &||evidence, but|
|facts, as well as||usually of a|
|examples and||generalized nature.|
|Research (if||Sources are||Sources are well||Sources support||The paper does not|
|assignment||exceptionally well-||integrated and||some claims made in||use adequate|
|includes a||integrated and they||support the paper’s||the paper, but might||research or if it does,|
|research||support claims||claims. There may be||not be integrated||the sources are not|
|component)||argued in the paper||occasional errors, but||well within the||integrated well.|
|very effectively.||the sources and||paper’s argument.||They are not cited|
|Quotations and||Works Cited conform||There may be a few||correctly according|
|Works Cited||to MLA style sheet.||errors in MLA||to MLA style, nor|
|conform to MLA||style..||listed correctly on|
|style sheet.||the Works Cited|
|Style: Sentence||Sentences are clear||Sentences are clear||Sentences are||Sentences aren’t|
|structure||and varied in||but may lack||generally clear but||clear|
|pattern, from simple||variation; a few may||may have awkward|
|to complex, with||be awkward and there||structure or unclear|
|excellent use of||may be a few||content; there may|
|punctuation.||punctuation errors.||be patterns of|
|Style: Word||There is clear use of||There is an attempt at||There is little||No attempt at style|
|choice, Tone||a personal and||a personal style but||attempt at style;|
|unique style of||style of writing may||reads as flat and|
|writing, suited to||be awkward or||perhaps|
|audience and||unsuited to audience||uninteresting in|
|purpose; the paper||and purpose; the||content, which is|
|holds the reader’s||reader may lose||usually generalized|
|interest with ease.||interest in some||and clichéd.|
|sections of the paper.|
|Style: Details||Large amounts of||Some use of specific||Little use of specific||No use of examples|
|and Examples||specific examples||examples and||examples and|
|and detailed||detailed descriptions.||details; mostly|
|descriptions.||May have extended||generalized|
|examples that go on||examples and little|
|for too long.||description.|
|Grammar &||Excellent grammar,||A few errors in||Shows a pattern of||Continuous errors|
|Mechanics||spelling, syntax and||grammar, spelling,||errors in spelling,|
|punctuation.||syntax and||grammar, syntax|
|punctuation, but not||and/or punctuation.|
|many.||Could also be a sign|
|of lack of proof-|